FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC St. Pauli to win ✗47% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC St. Pauli welcome 1. FC Nürnberg to Millerntor-Stadion for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 1 November (13:30 WAT). In the table, FC St. Pauli are 9th, upper half, on 12 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC St. Pauli, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SV Darmstadt 98, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC St. Pauli 1.7 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC St. Pauli 47%, draw 22%, 1. FC Nürnberg 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC St. Pauli47%fair 2.12 · @2.15

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30

1. FC Nürnberg30%fair 3.29 · @3.10

2.94Expected goals

1.66FC St. Pauli xG

1.281. FC Nürnberg xG

63%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–09%

2–07%

1–27%

0–17%

From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.7 – 1.3 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC St. Pauli to win ✗	47%	2.12	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.58	1.53
Draw no bet	FC St. Pauli (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	1. FC Nürnberg +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
First team to score	FC St. Pauli to score first ✗	54%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC St. Pauli / FT FC St. Pauli ✗	28%	3.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.72	–

FC St. Pauli – last 6

DDWDDW

23 Oct	@ SV Darmstadt 98	0–0	D
17 Oct	@ Hannover 96	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Karlsruher SC	2–0	W
3 Oct	vs Borussia Mönchengladbach	1–1	D
20 Sep	@ Energie Cottbus	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs VfL Wolfsburg	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

1. FC Nürnberg – last 6

LLDDWW

28 Oct	@ Bayer Leverkusen	2–5	L
24 Oct	vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern	0–1	L
16 Oct	@ Energie Cottbus	1–1	D
10 Oct	vs VfL Wolfsburg	4–4	D
2 Oct	vs FC Ingolstadt 04	3–1	W
19 Sep	@ Karlsruher SC	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 1. FC Nürnberg 30%.

How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg: numbers & prediction