Value bet: Benfica B to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenfica B to win ✗62% · @1.82
Double chanceBenfica B or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Benfica B vs Portimonense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Segunda Liga brings Benfica B against Portimonense at Benfica Campus. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Benfica B are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Portimonense are 10th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Benfica B, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over União de Leiria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Portimonense, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vizela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Benfica B, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Portimonense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benfica B 1.6 xG, Portimonense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benfica B 62%, draw 25%, Portimonense 14%.
Lower-risk option: Benfica B or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Benfica B to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benfica B 1–0 Portimonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benfica B62%fair 1.62 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.45
Portimonense14%fair 7.34 · @4.00
2.23Expected goals
1.62Benfica B xG
0.61Portimonense xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Benfica B 1.6 – 0.6 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica B to win✗
62%
1.62
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Benfica B or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Draw no bet
Benfica B (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Benfica B -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Benfica B to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica B / FT Benfica B✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Benfica B – last 6
WWWWWD
15 Aug
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Leixoes
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Mérida AD
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Farense
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 6
WWLLWW
16 Aug
vs Vizela
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Rio Ave
0–3
L
17 May
vs Farense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Chaves
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica B and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for Benfica B vs Portimonense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Benfica B vs Portimonense?
On our numbers Benfica B have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portimonense 14%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica B vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica B vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is Benfica B 1–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Benfica B vs Portimonense?
Benfica B vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Benfica Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
