Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultChaves to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceChaves or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Chaves vs AVS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Chaves v AVS in the Segunda Liga, played at Estadio Municipal de Chaves. In the table, Chaves are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; AVS are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Chaves, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting CP B, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
AVS, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Felgueiras 1932, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AVS, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Chaves.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended AVS 0–1 Chaves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chaves 1.5 xG, AVS 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chaves 57%, draw 24%, AVS 19%.
Lower-risk option: Chaves or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chaves or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chaves 1–0 AVS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chaves57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
AVS19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
2.25Expected goals
1.51Chaves xG
0.74AVS xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Chaves 1.5 – 0.7 AVS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Chaves or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chaves vs AVS?
On our numbers Chaves have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AVS 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chaves vs AVS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chaves vs AVS?
Our predicted score is Chaves 1–0 AVS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chaves vs AVS?
Chaves vs AVS (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.