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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chaves v AVS: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Chaves

Chaves

LLLLW
2–2
FT

AVS

DLDWW
Chaves 57%Draw 24%AVS 19% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.74
81%
Betarazi pick

Chaves or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultChaves to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceChaves or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Chaves vs AVS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Chaves v AVS in the Segunda Liga, played at Estadio Municipal de Chaves. In the table, Chaves are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; AVS are 11th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Chaves, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting CP B, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

AVS, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Felgueiras 1932, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AVS, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Chaves.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended AVS 0–1 Chaves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chaves 1.5 xG, AVS 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chaves 57%, draw 24%, AVS 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chaves or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chaves or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chaves 1–0 AVS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chaves57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
AVS19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
2.25Expected goals
1.51Chaves xG
0.74AVS xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Chaves 1.5 – 0.7 AVS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChaves to win ✗57%1.751.80
Double chanceChaves or draw ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.75
Draw no betChaves (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapAVS +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreChaves to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chaves / FT Chaves ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Chaves – last 6

LLLLWL
15 Aug@ Sporting CP B0–1L
8 Augvs Academica1–4L
1 Aug@ Guimaraes0–2L
25 Julvs Guimaraes B2–3L
22 Julvs Amarante2–1W
18 Jul@ Vizela0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AVS – last 6

DLDWWL
17 Aug@ Felgueiras 19321–1D
9 Augvs Sporting CP B0–1L
31 Julvs Trofense1–1D
29 Julvs Vianense3–0W
25 Jul@ Pacos Ferreira2–0W
22 Julvs Paredes2–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026AVS v Chaves0–1
Chaves vs AVS head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chaves vs AVS?

Our pick is Chaves or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chaves vs AVS?

On our numbers Chaves have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AVS 19%.

How many goals will there be in Chaves vs AVS?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chaves vs AVS?

Our predicted score is Chaves 1–0 AVS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Chaves vs AVS?

Chaves vs AVS (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.