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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penafiel v Sporting CP B: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
2–0
FT
Penafiel 41%Draw 23%Sporting CP B 36% Expected goals 0.91 – 0.84
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultPenafiel to win ✓41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29

Penafiel vs Sporting CP B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Penafiel welcome Sporting CP B to Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 23 August (14:00 WAT). In the table, Penafiel are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 10 matches; Sporting CP B are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Penafiel, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Torreense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Sporting CP B, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chaves, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sporting CP B, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Penafiel.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting CP B 1–2 Penafiel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penafiel 0.9 xG, Sporting CP B 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penafiel 41%, draw 23%, Sporting CP B 36%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penafiel 0–0 Sporting CP B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penafiel41%fair 2.47 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Sporting CP B36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
1.75Expected goals
0.91Penafiel xG
0.84Sporting CP B xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Penafiel 0.9 – 0.8 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenafiel to win ✓41%2.472.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.85
Draw no betPenafiel (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapSporting CP B +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scorePenafiel to score first ✓43%2.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.29–

Recent results

Penafiel – last 6

DLLDLL
15 Aug@ Torreense2–2D
8 Augvs Portimonense0–1L
24 Julvs Leganes0–2L
18 Jul@ Famalicao0–0D
17 May@ Pacos Ferreira1–2L
4 May@ Torreense2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting CP B – last 6

WWLLLL
15 Augvs Chaves1–0W
9 Aug@ AVS1–0W
1 Aug@ Alverca0–1L
1 Mayvs Benfica B0–1L
26 Apr@ Vizela0–1L
20 Aprvs Felgueiras 19320–1L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Sporting CP B v Penafiel1–2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

On our numbers Penafiel have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting CP B 36%.

How many goals will there be in Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

Our predicted score is Penafiel 0–0 Sporting CP B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

Penafiel vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.