Value bet: Portimonense to win @ 2.92 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeixoes to win ✓41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Portimonense vs Leixoes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Portimonense v Leixoes in the Segunda Liga. In the table, Portimonense are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Leixoes are 12th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portimonense, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Benfica B, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leixoes, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to União de Leiria, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Leixoes 2–0 Portimonense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portimonense 1.1 xG, Leixoes 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portimonense 37%, draw 23%, Leixoes 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Portimonense to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portimonense 1–1 Leixoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portimonense37%fair 2.72 · @2.92
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Leixoes41%fair 2.46 · @2.28
2.36Expected goals
1.14Portimonense xG
1.22Leixoes xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Portimonense 1.1 – 1.2 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Leixoes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portimonense vs Leixoes?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leixoes 41%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Leixoes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Leixoes?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Leixoes?
Portimonense vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
