União de Leiria 56%Draw 22%Portimonense 21%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.82
79%
Betarazi pick
União de Leiria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
União de Leiria vs Portimonense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: União de Leiria v Portimonense in the Segunda Liga. In the table, União de Leiria are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Portimonense are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
União de Leiria, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tondela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Portimonense, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leixoes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 1.6 xG, Portimonense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 56%, draw 22%, Portimonense 21%.
Lower-risk option: União de Leiria or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was União de Leiria or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 1–0 Portimonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União de Leiria56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Portimonense21%fair 4.69 · @3.70
2.38Expected goals
1.56União de Leiria xG
0.82Portimonense xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.6 – 0.8 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✓
56%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
União de Leiria – last 6
WWLLLW
28 Aug
vs Tondela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Leixoes
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Vizela
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Las Palmas
2–3
L
15 Jul
vs AD Marco 09
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 6
LDWWLL
29 Aug
vs Leixoes
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Vizela
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Rio Ave
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portimonense 21%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Portimonense?
União de Leiria vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
