Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Portimonense vs Tondela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Segunda Liga brings Portimonense against Tondela. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Portimonense are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Tondela are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portimonense, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to União de Leiria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tondela, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Porto B, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portimonense 0.9 xG, Tondela 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portimonense 36%, draw 23%, Tondela 40%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portimonense 0–0 Tondela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portimonense36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Tondela40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
1.90Expected goals
0.91Portimonense xG
0.99Tondela xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portimonense 0.9 – 1.0 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✓
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Tondela (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Tondela to score first✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.77
–
Recent results
Portimonense – last 6
LLDWWL
6 Sep
@ União de Leiria
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Leixoes
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Vizela
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tondela – last 6
WLLLWL
5 Sep
vs FC Porto B
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Academica
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Leixoes
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Amarante
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Rio Ave
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Tondela.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Tondela?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Portimonense vs Tondela?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tondela 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Tondela?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Tondela?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 0–0 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Tondela?
Portimonense vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
