Academica v Leixoes Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLeixoes to win ✗43% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36

Academica vs Leixoes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Academica v Leixoes in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra. In the table, Academica are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Leixoes are 12th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Academica, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Amarante, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Leixoes, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vianense, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Academica 1.2 xG, Leixoes 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Academica 34%, draw 23%, Leixoes 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Academica 1–1 Leixoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Academica34%fair 2.98 · @2.80

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00

Leixoes43%fair 2.31 · @2.30

2.64Expected goals

1.22Academica xG

1.42Leixoes xG

59%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–09%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Academica 1.2 – 1.4 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leixoes to win ✗	43%	2.31	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.75
Draw no bet	Leixoes (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Academica +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Leixoes to score first ✗	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes ✗	25%	4.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.36	–

Academica – last 6

WWWLLL

17 Oct	vs Amarante	3–2	W
11 Oct	@ União de Leiria	2–0	W
18 Sep	@ Real	4–1	W
11 Sep	vs Benfica B	0–3	L
5 Sep	@ Penafiel	1–4	L
29 Aug	vs Lusitânia Lourosa	0–2	L

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Leixoes – last 6

LLWDWW

17 Oct	@ Vianense	0–1	L
10 Oct	vs FC Porto B	1–2	L
20 Sep	@ Cinfães	4–0	W
11 Sep	@ Torreense	0–0	D
6 Sep	vs Amarante	3–1	W
29 Aug	@ Portimonense	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penafiel	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Sporting CP B	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Benfica B	10	6	2	2	+6	20
4	Lusitânia Lourosa	10	5	4	1	+6	19
5	União de Leiria	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Academica	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Tondela	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Farense	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Vizela	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Portimonense	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	AVS	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Leixoes	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Torreense	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Amarante	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Felgueiras 1932	10	1	5	4	-3	8
16	FC Porto B	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Chaves	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Feirense	10	1	2	7	-8	5

Team

Pts

+12

-3

-4

-3

-4

-3

-10

-10

-8

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Academica vs Leixoes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Academica vs Leixoes?

On our numbers Academica have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leixoes 43%.

How many goals will there be in Academica vs Leixoes?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Academica vs Leixoes?

Our predicted score is Academica 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Academica vs Leixoes?

Academica vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Academica v Leixoes: numbers & prediction