Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Segunda Liga brings Lusitânia Lourosa against Farense. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Farense are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Felgueiras 1932, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Farense, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Penafiel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Farense 2–1 Lusitânia Lourosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 xG, Farense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 39%, draw 24%, Farense 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Farense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitânia Lourosa39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Farense36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
2.81Expected goals
1.44Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.37Farense xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 – 1.4 Farense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Farense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Farense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.