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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lusitânia Lourosa v Farense: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal
1–1
FT

Farense

LWWWW
Lusitânia Lourosa 39%Draw 24%Farense 36% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.37
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Segunda Liga brings Lusitânia Lourosa against Farense. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Farense are 8th (upper half) with 15.

Current form

Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Felgueiras 1932, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Farense, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Penafiel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Farense 2–1 Lusitânia Lourosa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 xG, Farense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 39%, draw 24%, Farense 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Farense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lusitânia Lourosa39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Farense36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
2.81Expected goals
1.44Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.37Farense xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 – 1.4 Farense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗39%2.552.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.80 ▲
Draw no betLusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet)52%1.93–
Asian handicapFarense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreLusitânia Lourosa to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6

DWDWWW
25 Oct@ Felgueiras 19322–2D
18 Octvs Os Limianos2–1W
11 Octvs Chaves1–1D
20 Sep@ Madalena3–1W
14 Sep@ Sporting CP B2–1W
7 Sepvs AVS2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Farense – last 6

LWWWWD
24 Octvs Penafiel1–4L
17 Octvs AD Marco 093–0W
11 Octvs Feirense2–1W
4 Octvs Chaves4–0W
20 Sep@ Sacavenense1–0W
13 Sep@ AVS0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Farense v Lusitânia Lourosa2–1
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?

On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Farense 36%.

How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?

Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Farense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.