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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tondela v Felgueiras 1932: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal

Tondela

LDWWW
3–2
FT
Tondela 56%Draw 22%Felgueiras 1932 23% Expected goals 1.36 – 0.70
56%
Betarazi pick

Tondela to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultTondela to win ✓56% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Felgueiras 1932 travel to face Tondela on Sunday 1 November in the Segunda Liga – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tondela are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Felgueiras 1932 are 15th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Tondela, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AVS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Felgueiras 1932, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lusitânia Lourosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tondela, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Felgueiras 1932.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tondela 1.4 xG, Felgueiras 1932 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tondela 56%, draw 22%, Felgueiras 1932 23%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tondela to win (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tondela 1–0 Felgueiras 1932. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tondela56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.10
Felgueiras 193223%fair 4.42 · @4.00
2.06Expected goals
1.36Tondela xG
0.70Felgueiras 1932 xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–013%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Tondela 1.4 – 0.7 Felgueiras 1932 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTondela to win ✓56%1.791.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.921.67
Draw no betTondela (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapFelgueiras 1932 +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.06–
First team to scoreTondela to score first57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tondela / FT Tondela ✓31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.78–

Recent results

Tondela – last 6

LDWWWW
25 Oct@ AVS1–2L
18 Octvs Alverca0–0D
10 Octvs Torreense1–0W
19 Sep@ Imortal Albufeira5–1W
12 Sep@ Portimonense2–0W
5 Sepvs FC Porto B3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Felgueiras 1932 – last 6

DWLWLL
25 Octvs Lusitânia Lourosa2–2D
18 Octvs Fafe1–0W
12 Oct@ Benfica B0–1L
19 Sep@ Naval 18932–0W
12 Sepvs Penafiel1–2L
6 Sep@ Vizela0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tondela and Felgueiras 1932.

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

Our pick is Tondela to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

On our numbers Tondela have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Felgueiras 1932 23%.

How many goals will there be in Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

Our predicted score is Tondela 1–0 Felgueiras 1932, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.