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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Feirense v Lusitânia Lourosa: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Marcolino de Castro
1–0
FT
Feirense 29%Draw 23%Lusitânia Lourosa 48% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.29
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.32Odds
2

Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07

Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lusitânia Lourosa travel to face Feirense on Sunday 8 November in the Segunda Liga, with Estadio Marcolino de Castro the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Feirense are 18th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 10 matches; Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th (among the top four) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Feirense, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Penafiel, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Farense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lusitânia Lourosa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Feirense.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Feirense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Feirense 0.9 xG, Lusitânia Lourosa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Feirense 29%, draw 23%, Lusitânia Lourosa 48%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.84.
  • Price worth noting: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feirense 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Feirense29%fair 3.42 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.15
Lusitânia Lourosa48%fair 2.10 · @2.38
2.21Expected goals
0.92Feirense xG
1.29Lusitânia Lourosa xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Feirense 0.9 – 1.3 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗48%2.102.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.31
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.84
Draw no betLusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet) ✗62%1.61–
Asian handicapFeirense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.02
First team to scoreLusitânia Lourosa to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.07–

Recent results

Feirense – last 6

LDLLLL
2 Nov@ Penafiel0–1L
24 Octvs Benfica B0–0D
11 Oct@ Farense1–2L
19 Sep@ Salgueiros0–1L
13 Sep@ Chaves0–1L
5 Sepvs Sporting CP B1–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6

DDWDWW
1 Novvs Farense1–1D
25 Oct@ Felgueiras 19322–2D
18 Octvs Os Limianos2–1W
11 Octvs Chaves1–1D
20 Sep@ Madalena3–1W
14 Sep@ Sporting CP B2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Lusitânia Lourosa v Feirense1–0
Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

On our numbers Feirense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lusitânia Lourosa 48%.

How many goals will there be in Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our predicted score is Feirense 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcolino de Castro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.