Value bet: Sporting CP B to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP B to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Sporting CP B vs Tondela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Segunda Liga brings Sporting CP B against Tondela at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP B are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Tondela are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Sporting CP B, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leixoes, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Tondela, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Felgueiras 1932, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP B 1.2 xG, Tondela 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP B 39%, draw 23%, Tondela 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Sporting CP B to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP B 1–1 Tondela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP B39%fair 2.59 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.15
Tondela38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
2.46Expected goals
1.23Sporting CP B xG
1.23Tondela xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.2 – 1.2 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP B to win✗
39%
2.59
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP B (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Tondela +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Sporting CP B to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Sporting CP B – last 6
WWWWWL
31 Oct
@ Leixoes
2–1
W
30 Oct
@ Leicester City U21
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Portimonense
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Vizela
2–0
W
30 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest U21
4–2
W
14 Sep
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tondela – last 6
WLDWWW
1 Nov
vs Felgueiras 1932
3–2
W
25 Oct
@ AVS
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Alverca
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Torreense
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Imortal Albufeira
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ Portimonense
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP B and Tondela.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tondela 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
Sporting CP B vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
