Portugal vs Spain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Monday 6 July: Portugal v Spain in the World Cup, played at AT&T Stadium.
Current form
Portugal, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Croatia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Spain, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Austria, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugal 1.1 xG, Spain 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugal 26%, draw 26%, Spain 48%.
Lower-risk option: Spain or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spain or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugal 1–1 Spain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugal26%fair 3.88 · @3.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.55
Spain48%fair 2.08 · @1.90
2.47Expected goals
1.07Portugal xG
1.41Spain xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Portugal 1.1 – 1.4 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
48%
2.08
1.90
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Draw no bet
Spain (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Portugal +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.17
First team to score
Spain to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Portugal – last 6
WDWDWW
3 Jul
vs Croatia
2–1
W
28 Jun
@ Colombia
0–0
D
23 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
5–0
W
17 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–1
D
10 Jun
vs Nigeria
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Chile
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spain – last 6
WWWDWD
2 Jul
vs Austria
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Saudi Arabia
4–0
W
15 Jun
vs Cape Verde Islands
0–0
D
9 Jun
@ Peru
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Iraq
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Spain.
Our pick is Spain or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portugal vs Spain?
On our numbers Portugal have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spain 48%.
How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Spain?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Spain?
Our predicted score is Portugal 1–1 Spain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portugal vs Spain?
Portugal vs Spain (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AT&T Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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