Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 2.13 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓54% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.17
Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelyabinsk welcome Nizhny Novgorod to Central Stadium for a First League fixture on Saturday 25 July (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Veles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over KAMAZ, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.1 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 23%, draw 23%, Nizhny Novgorod 54%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @2.13 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk23%fair 4.30 · @3.38
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.18
Nizhny Novgorod54%fair 1.84 · @2.13
3.27Expected goals
1.13Chelyabinsk xG
2.15Nizhny Novgorod xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.1 – 2.1 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelyabinsk
Nizhny Novgorod
Attack vs First League average
+2%
+100%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-32%
Our expected goals here
1.03
2.65
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
54%
1.84
2.13 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.05
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LWDLWL
19 Jul
@ Veles
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ Ural
1–1
D
8 May
@ Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
2 May
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ural
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWLDLL
19 Jul
@ KAMAZ
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Rotor Volgograd
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Rubin
2–2
D
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nizhny Novgorod 54%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Chelyabinsk vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
