Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 July the First League brings Volga Ulyanovsk against FK Neftekhimik at Trud Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arsenal Tula, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FK Neftekhimik, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Volga Ulyanovsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.4 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 48%, draw 27%, FK Neftekhimik 25%.
Lower-risk option: Volga Ulyanovsk or draw (75%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Volga Ulyanovsk or draw (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk48%fair 2.09 · @2.02
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.12
FK Neftekhimik25%fair 4.00 · @3.78
2.23Expected goals
1.41Volga Ulyanovsk xG
0.82FK Neftekhimik xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.4 – 0.8 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Volga Ulyanovsk
FK Neftekhimik
Attack vs First League average
-10%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.43
0.69
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✓
48%
2.09
2.02
Double chance
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Draw no bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.03
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✓
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LLDLLW
19 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Enisey
1–2
L
28 Jun
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Baltika
0–3
L
22 Jun
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
WLWDWD
19 Jul
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
1 Jul
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
28 Jun
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs KAMAZ
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Volga Ulyanovsk or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FK Neftekhimik 25%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
