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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Sochi v Arsenal Tula: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Fisht Olympic Stadium
5–0
FT
FC Sochi 52%Draw 24%Arsenal Tula 24% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.99
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Sochi to win ✓52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal Tula travel to face FC Sochi on Sunday 26 July in the First League, with Fisht Olympic Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FC Sochi are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Sochi, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Arsenal Tula, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FK Neftekhimik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended FC Sochi 3–3 Arsenal Tula.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 1.8 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 52%, draw 24%, Arsenal Tula 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.81.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Sochi52%fair 1.91 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.28
Arsenal Tula24%fair 4.15 · @3.64
2.78Expected goals
1.78FC Sochi xG
0.99Arsenal Tula xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.8 – 1.0 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC SochiArsenal Tula
Attack vs First League average+7%-6%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+37%
Our expected goals here2.181.00

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Sochi to win ✓52%1.912.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.81
Draw no betFC Sochi (draw no bet) ✓68%1.46–
Asian handicapArsenal Tula +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.171.06
First team to scoreFC Sochi to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultFC Sochi ahead at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

FC Sochi – last 6

LDLWDD
19 Julvs Spartak Kostroma0–2L
12 Jul@ Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2D
3 Julvs Torpedo Moskva0–3L
30 Junvs Ska-khabarovsk4–2W
26 Junvs Arsenal Tula3–3D
17 Mayvs Akhmat1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula – last 6

LWDDDL
19 Julvs FK Neftekhimik0–1L
13 Julvs Tekstilshchik2–1W
4 Jul@ CSKA Moscow1–1D
26 Jun@ FC Sochi3–3D
21 Junvs Spartak Kostroma1–1D
17 Junvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jun 2026FC Sochi v Arsenal Tula3–3
FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

On our numbers FC Sochi have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal Tula 24%.

How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.