Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the First League brings Torpedo Moskva against Shinnik Yaroslavl at Arena Khimki. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leningradets, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Torpedo Moskva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.6 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 55%, draw 27%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 18%.
Lower-risk option: Torpedo Moskva or draw (82%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.98.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva55%fair 1.82 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.45
Shinnik Yaroslavl18%fair 5.59 · @4.60
2.43Expected goals
1.60Torpedo Moskva xG
0.83Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.6 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Torpedo Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack vs First League average
+19%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.43
0.75
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 18%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
