Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 2.43 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗48% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal Tula welcome Torpedo Moskva to Stadion Arsenal for a First League fixture on Sunday 2 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FC Sochi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Torpedo Moskva, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shinnik Yaroslavl, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Arsenal Tula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.0 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 26%, draw 26%, Torpedo Moskva 48%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @2.43 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula26%fair 3.82 · @2.98
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.02
Torpedo Moskva48%fair 2.08 · @2.43
2.65Expected goals
1.01Arsenal Tula xG
1.65Torpedo Moskva xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.0 – 1.6 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal Tula
Torpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average
-6%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.95
1.90
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
48%
2.08
2.43 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.88
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.03
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula – last 6
LLWDDD
26 Jul
@ FC Sochi
0–5
L
19 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ FC Sochi
3–3
D
21 Jun
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
DWWWWW
26 Jul
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
3–1
W
13 Jul
@ Ural
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ FC Sochi
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Dynamo
2–0
W
22 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Torpedo Moskva 48%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
