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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torpedo Moskva v FC Sochi: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Arena Khimki
1–2
FT
Torpedo Moskva 44%Draw 27%FC Sochi 28% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.00
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.39Odds
1

Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 2.59 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗44% · @2.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Torpedo Moskva welcome FC Sochi to Arena Khimki for a First League fixture on Saturday 8 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; FC Sochi are 4th (among the top four) with 32. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arsenal Tula, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Sochi, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leningradets, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for FC Sochi.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended FC Sochi 0–3 Torpedo Moskva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.5 xG, FC Sochi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 44%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @2.59 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 FC Sochi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torpedo Moskva44%fair 2.25 · @2.59
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.96
FC Sochi28%fair 3.51 · @2.81
2.50Expected goals
1.51Torpedo Moskva xG
1.00FC Sochi xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.5 – 1.0 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Torpedo MoskvaFC Sochi
Attack vs First League average+19%+7%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-9%
Our expected goals here1.620.85

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗44%2.252.59 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.93
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapFC Sochi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.39
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.01
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

LDWWWW
2 Aug@ Arsenal Tula0–1L
26 Julvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
19 Julvs Volga Ulyanovsk3–1W
13 Jul@ Ural1–0W
3 Jul@ FC Sochi3–0W
27 Jun@ Dynamo2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Sochi – last 6

LWLDLW
1 Aug@ Leningradets1–2L
26 Julvs Arsenal Tula5–0W
19 Julvs Spartak Kostroma0–2L
12 Jul@ Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2D
3 Julvs Torpedo Moskva0–3L
30 Junvs Ska-khabarovsk4–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026FC Sochi v Torpedo Moskva0–3
Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi?

On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC Sochi 28%.

How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi?

Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi?

Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi (First League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.