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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Tula v Rotor Volgograd: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Arsenal
2–1
FT
Arsenal Tula 36%Draw 24%Rotor Volgograd 40% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.29
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal Tula welcome Rotor Volgograd to Stadion Arsenal for a First League fixture on Thursday 20 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Rotor Volgograd are 10th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Arsenal Tula, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leningradets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Rotor Volgograd, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ural, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Arsenal Tula 2–2 Rotor Volgograd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.2 xG, Rotor Volgograd 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 36%, draw 24%, Rotor Volgograd 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.01.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Tula36%fair 2.80 · @2.72
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.06
Rotor Volgograd40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
2.49Expected goals
1.20Arsenal Tula xG
1.29Rotor Volgograd xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.2 – 1.3 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRotor Volgograd to win ✗40%2.492.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.812.01 ▲
Draw no betRotor Volgograd (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapArsenal Tula +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.13
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreRotor Volgograd to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.05–

Recent results

Arsenal Tula – last 6

DDWLLW
15 Aug@ Leningradets0–0D
8 Aug@ Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2D
2 Augvs Torpedo Moskva1–0W
26 Jul@ FC Sochi0–5L
19 Julvs FK Neftekhimik0–1L
13 Julvs Tekstilshchik2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rotor Volgograd – last 6

DWLWWL
14 Augvs Ural1–1D
9 Augvs Chelyabinsk4–1W
3 Aug@ Veles1–2L
27 Jul@ KAMAZ2–0W
20 Julvs Ska-khabarovsk1–0W
12 Jul@ Nizhny Novgorod2–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Arsenal Tula v Rotor Volgograd2–2
Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rotor Volgograd 40%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.