FK Neftekhimik 17%Draw 21%FC Sochi 61%Expected goals 0.80 – 1.78
83%
Betarazi pick
FC Sochi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Sochi to win @ 1.87 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win ✓61% · @1.87
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.39
FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: FK Neftekhimik v FC Sochi in the First League, played at Neftekhimik Stadium. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; FC Sochi are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FC Sochi, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Sochi, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for FK Neftekhimik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 0.8 xG, FC Sochi 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 17%, draw 21%, FC Sochi 61%.
Lower-risk option: FC Sochi or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.79.
Price worth noting: FC Sochi to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Sochi or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 0–1 FC Sochi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik17%fair 5.82 · @3.94
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.44
FC Sochi61%fair 1.63 · @1.87
2.59Expected goals
0.80FK Neftekhimik xG
1.78FC Sochi xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 0.8 – 1.8 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✓
61%
1.63
1.87 ▲
Double chance
FC Sochi or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.79
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
FC Sochi -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
FC Sochi to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
FC Sochi ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LLWLWL
14 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–5
L
1 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Sochi – last 6
WWLWLD
16 Aug
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Leningradets
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Arsenal Tula
5–0
W
19 Jul
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–2
L
12 Jul
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and FC Sochi.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?
Our pick is FC Sochi or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Sochi 61%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 0–1 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi?
FK Neftekhimik vs FC Sochi (First League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
