Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shinnik Yaroslavl welcome Ska-khabarovsk to Shinnik for a First League fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Ska-khabarovsk are 15th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KAMAZ, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Ska-khabarovsk, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Sochi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Ska-khabarovsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.9 xG, Ska-khabarovsk 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 63%, draw 22%, Ska-khabarovsk 15%.
Lower-risk option: Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–0 Ska-khabarovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.65
Ska-khabarovsk15%fair 6.85 · @4.30
2.66Expected goals
1.88Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.78Ska-khabarovsk xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.9 – 0.8 Ska-khabarovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.92 ▲
Draw no bet
Shinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.03
First team to score
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Shinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
LDWDDW
18 Sep
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Ural
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Enisey
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
DDWLLL
18 Sep
@ FC Sochi
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Znamya Noginsk
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Leningradets
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
24 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Ska-khabarovsk.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ska-khabarovsk 15%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–0 Ska-khabarovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
