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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC UFA v Torpedo Moskva: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Neftyanik Stadium

FC UFA

LDLDW
0–0
FT
FC UFA 15%Draw 25%Torpedo Moskva 59% Expected goals 0.77 – 1.73
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
2

Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57

FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC UFA welcome Torpedo Moskva to Neftyanik Stadium for a First League fixture on Sunday 27 September (10:30 WAT). In the table, FC UFA are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

FC UFA, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chelyabinsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Veles, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended FC UFA 1–1 Torpedo Moskva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC UFA 0.8 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC UFA 15%, draw 25%, Torpedo Moskva 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Torpedo Moskva or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.03.
  • Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC UFA 0–2 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC UFA15%fair 6.55 · @4.25
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.24
Torpedo Moskva59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
2.50Expected goals
0.77FC UFA xG
1.73Torpedo Moskva xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: FC UFA 0.8 – 1.7 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗59%1.691.85 ▲
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.03
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet)80%1.26–
Asian handicapTorpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.461.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.01
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultTorpedo Moskva ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

FC UFA – last 6

LDLDWW
18 Sep@ Chelyabinsk1–2L
13 Sepvs Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
9 Sep@ Kaluga0–1L
5 Sepvs Veles1–1D
28 Aug@ FK Neftekhimik1–0W
23 Augvs Enisey3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

DLLWWW
17 Sepvs Veles1–1D
13 Sepvs Nizhny Novgorod1–2L
10 Sep@ Shinnik Yaroslavl0–2L
4 Sep@ Tekstilshchik4–1W
30 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk2–0W
21 Augvs Spartak Kostroma3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026FC UFA v Torpedo Moskva1–1
FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers FC UFA have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Torpedo Moskva 59%.

How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is FC UFA 0–2 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?

FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftyanik Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.