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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nizhny Novgorod v Leningradets: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Sovcombank Arena
6–0
FT
Nizhny Novgorod 64%Draw 23%Leningradets 13% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.88
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓64% · @1.38
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the First League brings Nizhny Novgorod against Leningradets at Sovcombank Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nizhny Novgorod are 1st, leading the league, on 46 points after 17 matches; Leningradets are 13th (lower half) with 18. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torpedo Moskva, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Leningradets, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tekstilshchik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Leningradets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 xG, Leningradets 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 64%, draw 23%, Leningradets 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.98.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nizhny Novgorod64%fair 1.56 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.50
Leningradets13%fair 7.75 · @7.20
2.99Expected goals
2.11Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.88Leningradets xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 – 0.9 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓64%1.561.38
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.98 ▲
Draw no betNizhny Novgorod (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapNizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.211.09
First team to scoreNizhny Novgorod to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultNizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Nizhny Novgorod – last 6

WWWDWL
13 Sep@ Torpedo Moskva2–1W
9 Sep@ Dinamo Stavropol2–1W
5 Sep@ FC Sochi1–0W
30 Augvs Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
24 Augvs Ska-khabarovsk4–2W
19 Aug@ Veles2–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Leningradets – last 6

DDWLDD
13 Sepvs Tekstilshchik2–2D
9 Sep@ FK Sokol Saratov1–1D
5 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk3–2W
29 Augvs KAMAZ0–1L
23 Augvs Chelyabinsk1–1D
15 Augvs Arsenal Tula0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Leningradets.

Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?

On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leningradets 13%.

How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?

Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?

Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.