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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torpedo Moskva v Veles: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Arena Khimki
1–1
FT

Veles

LLDWW
Torpedo Moskva 64%Draw 20%Veles 15% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.74
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗64% · @1.51
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11

Torpedo Moskva vs Veles: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Veles travel to face Torpedo Moskva on Thursday 17 September in the First League, with Arena Khimki the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Veles are 5th (upper half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nizhny Novgorod, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Veles, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Sochi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.8 xG, Veles 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 64%, draw 20%, Veles 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Veles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torpedo Moskva64%fair 1.56 · @1.51
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.78
Veles15%fair 6.48 · @6.25
2.56Expected goals
1.83Torpedo Moskva xG
0.74Veles xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.8 – 0.7 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗64%1.561.51
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.60
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapTorpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.04
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultTorpedo Moskva ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.11–

Recent results

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

LLWWWW
13 Sepvs Nizhny Novgorod1–2L
10 Sep@ Shinnik Yaroslavl0–2L
4 Sep@ Tekstilshchik4–1W
30 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk2–0W
21 Augvs Spartak Kostroma3–0W
15 Aug@ Chelyabinsk4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Veles – last 6

LLDWWW
14 Sepvs FC Sochi1–2L
9 Sep@ Murom0–1L
5 Sep@ FC UFA1–1D
29 Aug@ Tekstilshchik1–0W
24 Augvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
19 Augvs Nizhny Novgorod3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Veles.

Torpedo Moskva vs Veles head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Veles?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Veles?

On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Veles 15%.

How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Veles?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Veles?

Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Torpedo Moskva vs Veles?

Torpedo Moskva vs Veles (First League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.