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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leningradets v Torpedo Moskva: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Nova Arena
1–3
FT
Leningradets 19%Draw 21%Torpedo Moskva 60% Expected goals 0.81 – 1.71
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓60% · @1.59
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leningradets welcome Torpedo Moskva to Nova Arena for a First League fixture on Saturday 10 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Leningradets are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Leningradets, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torpedo Zhodino, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leningradets 0.8 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leningradets 19%, draw 21%, Torpedo Moskva 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.98.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leningradets 0–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leningradets19%fair 5.35 · @5.40
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.68
Torpedo Moskva60%fair 1.66 · @1.59
2.52Expected goals
0.81Leningradets xG
1.71Torpedo Moskva xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Leningradets 0.8 – 1.7 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓60%1.661.59
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓81%1.231.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.98
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapLeningradets +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.05
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✓36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Leningradets – last 6

WLDDWL
26 Sep@ Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
17 Sep@ Nizhny Novgorod0–6L
13 Sepvs Tekstilshchik2–2D
9 Sep@ FK Sokol Saratov1–1D
5 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk3–2W
29 Augvs KAMAZ0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WDDLLW
3 Oct@ Torpedo Zhodino2–1W
27 Sep@ FC UFA0–0D
17 Sepvs Veles1–1D
13 Sepvs Nizhny Novgorod1–2L
10 Sep@ Shinnik Yaroslavl0–2L
4 Sep@ Tekstilshchik4–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leningradets and Torpedo Moskva.

Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Leningradets have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torpedo Moskva 60%.

How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Leningradets 0–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?

Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.