Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.59 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.59Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓67% · @1.59
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Shinnik Yaroslavl v Tekstilshchik in the First League, played at Shinnik. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Tekstilshchik are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tekstilshchik, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rotor Volgograd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tekstilshchik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 xG, Tekstilshchik 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 67%, draw 23%, Tekstilshchik 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shinnik Yaroslavl to win (67%, odds 1.59 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl67%fair 1.49 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Tekstilshchik10%fair 9.79 · @5.55
2.35Expected goals
1.80Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.55Tekstilshchik xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
0–09%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 – 0.6 Tekstilshchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✓
67%
1.49
1.59 ▲
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Shinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Shinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DLDWDD
27 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Ural
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Enisey
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tekstilshchik – last 6
LDWLLL
17 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leningradets
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Veles
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Ural
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Tekstilshchik.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tekstilshchik 10%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.