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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shinnik Yaroslavl v Tekstilshchik: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Shinnik
2–0
FT
Shinnik Yaroslavl 67%Draw 23%Tekstilshchik 10% Expected goals 1.80 – 0.55
67%
Betarazi pick

Shinnik Yaroslavl to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.59 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.59Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓67% · @1.59
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Shinnik Yaroslavl v Tekstilshchik in the First League, played at Shinnik. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Tekstilshchik are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tekstilshchik, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rotor Volgograd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tekstilshchik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 xG, Tekstilshchik 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 67%, draw 23%, Tekstilshchik 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shinnik Yaroslavl to win (67%, odds 1.59 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl67%fair 1.49 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Tekstilshchik10%fair 9.79 · @5.55
2.35Expected goals
1.80Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.55Tekstilshchik xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
0–09%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.8 – 0.6 Tekstilshchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓67%1.491.59 ▲
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.942.10 ▲
Draw no betShinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapShinnik Yaroslavl -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.03
First team to scoreShinnik Yaroslavl to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultShinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.75–

Recent results

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

DLDWDD
27 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk0–0D
18 Sepvs KAMAZ0–1L
14 Sepvs Ural1–1D
10 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva2–0W
5 Sepvs Rotor Volgograd2–2D
30 Aug@ Enisey0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Tekstilshchik – last 6

LDWLLL
17 Sepvs Rotor Volgograd0–2L
13 Sep@ Leningradets2–2D
8 Sepvs Arsenal Tula1–0W
4 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva1–4L
29 Augvs Veles0–1L
22 Aug@ Ural0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Tekstilshchik.

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?

Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tekstilshchik 10%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?

Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Tekstilshchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.