FK Neftekhimik 36%Draw 25%Chelyabinsk 39%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.15
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✓39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.05
FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelyabinsk travel to face FK Neftekhimik on Friday 9 October in the First League, with Neftekhimik Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ural, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Chelyabinsk, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Enisey, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Chelyabinsk 2–0 FK Neftekhimik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.1 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 36%, draw 25%, Chelyabinsk 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.02.
Price worth noting: Chelyabinsk to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik36%fair 2.79 · @2.49
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.86
Chelyabinsk39%fair 2.55 · @2.98
2.23Expected goals
1.08FK Neftekhimik xG
1.15Chelyabinsk xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.1 – 1.1 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelyabinsk 39%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
