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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KAMAZ v FK Neftekhimik: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · KAMAZ Stadium

KAMAZ

DWDLL
2–1
FT
KAMAZ 47%Draw 23%FK Neftekhimik 30% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.01
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKAMAZ to win ✓47% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.40

KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Neftekhimik travel to face KAMAZ on Saturday 17 October in the First League, with KAMAZ Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, KAMAZ are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

KAMAZ, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Ska-khabarovsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Chelyabinsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours KAMAZ, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for FK Neftekhimik.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended KAMAZ 2–3 FK Neftekhimik. The last 3 head-to-heads: KAMAZ 0 wins, FK Neftekhimik 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KAMAZ 1.4 xG, FK Neftekhimik 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KAMAZ 47%, draw 23%, FK Neftekhimik 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.99.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: KAMAZ 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KAMAZ47%fair 2.12 · @1.99
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.22
FK Neftekhimik30%fair 3.33 · @3.66
2.39Expected goals
1.37KAMAZ xG
1.01FK Neftekhimik xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.4 – 1.0 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKAMAZ to win ✓47%2.121.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.99 ▲
Draw no betKAMAZ (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapFK Neftekhimik +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreKAMAZ to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT KAMAZ / FT KAMAZ ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.40–

Recent results

KAMAZ – last 6

DWDLLW
10 Oct@ Ska-khabarovsk3–3D
18 Sep@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–0W
14 Sepvs Chelyabinsk1–1D
9 Sep@ Dinamo Kirov0–1L
6 Sep@ Ural0–2L
29 Aug@ Leningradets1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

FK Neftekhimik – last 6

LLLDWL
9 Octvs Chelyabinsk2–4L
18 Sepvs Ural0–1L
14 Sep@ Spartak Kostroma0–1L
9 Sep@ Chertanovo Moscow1–1D
5 Sep@ Enisey2–0W
28 Augvs FC UFA0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jul 2026KAMAZ v FK Neftekhimik2–3
18 Jun 2026FK Neftekhimik v KAMAZ0–0
10 Apr 2026KAMAZ v FK Neftekhimik0–0
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?

On our numbers KAMAZ have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Neftekhimik 30%.

How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik?

KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.