FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal Tula travel to face FC UFA on Saturday 17 October in the First League, with Neftyanik Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, FC UFA are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC UFA, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Sochi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Arsenal Tula, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Spartak Kostroma, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC UFA 1.2 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC UFA 36%, draw 23%, Arsenal Tula 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC UFA 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC UFA36%fair 2.80 · @2.79
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Arsenal Tula41%fair 2.42 · @2.41
2.55Expected goals
1.21FC UFA xG
1.33Arsenal Tula xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC UFA 1.2 – 1.3 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
41%
2.42
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Arsenal Tula (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
FC UFA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Arsenal Tula to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
FC UFA – last 6
LDLDLD
11 Oct
@ FC Sochi
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
WLLDLL
9 Oct
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Enisey
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC UFA and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal Tula 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is FC UFA 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula?
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftyanik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
