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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Tula v KAMAZ: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Arsenal
4–3
FT

KAMAZ

WDWDL
Arsenal Tula 46%Draw 21%KAMAZ 33% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.21
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: KAMAZ to win @ 3.42 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Tula to win ✓46% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08

Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Arsenal Tula v KAMAZ in the First League, played at Stadion Arsenal. In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; KAMAZ are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Arsenal Tula, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC UFA, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

KAMAZ, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Neftekhimik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours KAMAZ, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Tula.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended KAMAZ 1–1 Arsenal Tula.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.5 xG, KAMAZ 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 46%, draw 21%, KAMAZ 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.81.
  • Price worth noting: KAMAZ to win @3.42 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 KAMAZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Tula46%fair 2.18 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
KAMAZ33%fair 3.03 · @3.42
2.70Expected goals
1.49Arsenal Tula xG
1.21KAMAZ xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.5 – 1.2 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Tula to win ✓46%2.181.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.81
Draw no betArsenal Tula (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapKAMAZ +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.381.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.04
First team to scoreArsenal Tula to score first ✓51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula ✓26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

Arsenal Tula – last 6

LWLLDL
17 Oct@ FC UFA0–2L
9 Octvs Spartak Kostroma3–2W
4 Oct@ CSKA Moscow1–3L
16 Sep@ Enisey1–3L
13 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk2–2D
8 Sep@ Tekstilshchik0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

KAMAZ – last 6

WDWDLL
17 Octvs FK Neftekhimik2–1W
10 Oct@ Ska-khabarovsk3–3D
18 Sep@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–0W
14 Sepvs Chelyabinsk1–1D
9 Sep@ Dinamo Kirov0–1L
6 Sep@ Ural0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026KAMAZ v Arsenal Tula1–1
Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KAMAZ 33%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 KAMAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.