Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 11.65
FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the First League brings FC UFA against Nizhny Novgorod at BetBoom Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, FC UFA are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC UFA, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Arsenal Tula, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ural, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for FC UFA.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC UFA 0.8 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC UFA 12%, draw 22%, Nizhny Novgorod 67%.
Lower-risk option: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (88%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @1.60 – the bookmaker implies 63%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC UFA 0–2 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC UFA12%fair 8.63 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.84
Nizhny Novgorod67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
2.93Expected goals
0.80FC UFA xG
2.13Nizhny Novgorod xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: FC UFA 0.8 – 2.1 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.81
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.07
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
FC UFA – last 6
WLDLDL
17 Oct
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Sochi
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWWWW
18 Oct
@ Ural
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Enisey
5–0
W
17 Sep
vs Leningradets
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC UFA and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nizhny Novgorod 67%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is FC UFA 0–2 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at BetBoom Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
