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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Sochi v Shinnik Yaroslavl: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Fisht Olympic Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026
FC Sochi 53%Draw 25%Shinnik Yaroslavl 22% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.98
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Sochi to win53% · @1.64
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.81

FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the First League brings FC Sochi against Shinnik Yaroslavl at Fisht Olympic Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, FC Sochi are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

FC Sochi, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Enisey, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC UFA, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2 FC Sochi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 1.5 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 53%, draw 25%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Sochi or draw (78%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.82.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Sochi53%fair 1.88 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.72
Shinnik Yaroslavl22%fair 4.65 · @4.80
2.49Expected goals
1.51FC Sochi xG
0.98Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.5 – 1.0 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC SochiShinnik Yaroslavl
Attack vs First League average+7%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-19%
Our expected goals here1.291.01

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Sochi to win53%1.881.64
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw78%1.271.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.901.82
Draw no betFC Sochi (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapShinnik Yaroslavl +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.921.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.161.08
First team to scoreFC Sochi to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi30%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.81–

Recent results

FC Sochi – last 6

LLWWWD
7 Nov@ Enisey0–3L
1 Novvs Ural0–2L
24 Oct@ Tekstilshchik3–1W
16 Oct@ Rotor Volgograd1–0W
11 Octvs FC UFA1–0W
18 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

WLWDLW
7 Novvs FC UFA2–1W
31 Oct@ Chelyabinsk0–2L
26 Octvs Spartak Kostroma2–1W
18 Oct@ Veles1–1D
14 Oct@ Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
10 Octvs Tekstilshchik2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC Sochi2–2
FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

On our numbers FC Sochi have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 22%.

How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.