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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC UFA v Spartak Kostroma: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · BetBoom Arena

FC UFA

LDLWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026
FC UFA 41%Draw 29%Spartak Kostroma 30% Expected goals 1.19 – 0.94
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC UFA to win41% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.60

FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the First League brings FC UFA against Spartak Kostroma at BetBoom Arena. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, FC UFA are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.

Current form

FC UFA, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Spartak Kostroma, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nizhny Novgorod, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Spartak Kostroma 1–1 FC UFA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC UFA 1.2 xG, Spartak Kostroma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC UFA 41%, draw 29%, Spartak Kostroma 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.97.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC UFA 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC UFA41%fair 2.43 · @2.32
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.08
Spartak Kostroma30%fair 3.31 · @3.02
2.14Expected goals
1.19FC UFA xG
0.94Spartak Kostroma xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: FC UFA 1.2 – 0.9 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC UFASpartak Kostroma
Attack vs First League average-21%-4%
Goals conceded vs average-26%-5%
Our expected goals here1.110.83

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC UFA to win41%2.432.32
Double chanceEither team to win71%1.401.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.881.97
Draw no betFC UFA (draw no bet)58%1.74–
Asian handicapSpartak Kostroma +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals64%1.571.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals62%1.621.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.241.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.101.02
First team to scoreFC UFA to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC UFA / FT FC UFA24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.60–

Recent results

FC UFA – last 6

LDLWLD
7 Nov@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–2L
1 Nov@ Rotor Volgograd0–0D
24 Octvs Nizhny Novgorod0–1L
17 Octvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
11 Oct@ FC Sochi0–1L
27 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

LLDLWW
8 Novvs Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
3 Novvs Volna Nizhegorodskaya2–3L
30 Oct@ Veles1–1D
26 Oct@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–2L
17 Octvs Leningradets2–0W
13 Octvs Chelyabinsk1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Aug 2026Spartak Kostroma v FC UFA1–1
FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

On our numbers FC UFA have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Spartak Kostroma 30%.

How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our predicted score is FC UFA 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma?

FC UFA vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BetBoom Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.