Holbæk B&I v ASA Aarhus Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓63% · @1.36

Double chanceHolbæk B&I or draw ✓84% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72

Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Holbæk B&I v ASA Aarhus in the 3. Division. In the table, Holbæk B&I are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; ASA Aarhus are 10th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Holbæk B&I, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FC Helsingor, away. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

ASA Aarhus, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hørsholm-Usserød, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Holbæk B&I, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for ASA Aarhus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holbæk B&I 2.4 xG, ASA Aarhus 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Holbæk B&I 63%, draw 21%, ASA Aarhus 16%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holbæk B&I 2–1 ASA Aarhus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Holbæk B&I63%fair 1.59 · @1.36

Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.60

ASA Aarhus16%fair 6.25 · @5.50

3.67Expected goals

2.45Holbæk B&I xG

1.22ASA Aarhus xG

64%Both score

71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

2–08%

1–18%

3–18%

1–06%

3–06%

From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.4 – 1.2 ASA Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Holbæk B&I to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.36
Double chance	Holbæk B&I or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.55	1.57
Draw no bet	Holbæk B&I (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Holbæk B&I -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	–
First team to score	Holbæk B&I to score first ✓	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Holbæk B&I ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.06	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Holbæk B&I / FT Holbæk B&I ✓	42%	2.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.72	–

Holbæk B&I – last 6

LWLWWW

25 Sep	@ FC Helsingor	1–5	L
18 Sep	vs Ringsted	5–2	W
13 Sep	@ Hørsholm-Usserød	1–3	L
5 Sep	@ Ishøj	4–0	W
29 Aug	vs Næsby	3–2	W
21 Aug	@ Brønshøj	4–1	W

3.0Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

ASA Aarhus – last 6

WLWLWL

26 Sep	vs Hørsholm-Usserød	2–1	W
19 Sep	@ Brønshøj	1–5	L
13 Sep	vs Næsby	1–0	W
5 Sep	@ Sundby	0–1	L
28 Aug	vs Holstebro	4–0	W
22 Aug	@ Frem	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brønshøj	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	Holbæk B&I	15	9	2	4	+11	29
3	Vanløse	15	7	6	2	+8	27
4	Hørsholm-Usserød	15	7	4	4	+9	25
5	FC Helsingor	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Næsby	15	6	3	6	+6	21
7	Frem	15	4	6	5	+2	18
8	Ishøj	15	5	3	7	-7	18
9	Sundby	15	5	2	8	-1	17
10	ASA Aarhus	15	5	2	8	-7	17
11	Holstebro	15	5	1	9	-18	16
12	Ringsted	15	1	3	11	-21	6

Team

Pts

+13

+11

-7

-1

-7

-18

-21

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus?

On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ASA Aarhus 16%.

How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus?

Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 ASA Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus?

Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Holbæk B&I v ASA Aarhus: numbers & prediction