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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Næsby v Holstebro: numbers & prediction

3. Division · Denmark · ALPI Arena Naesby

Næsby

WDLLW
4–0
FT
Næsby 58%Draw 18%Holstebro 25% Expected goals 2.19 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultNæsby to win ✓58% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Næsby vs Holstebro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Næsby welcome Holstebro to ALPI Arena Naesby for a 3. Division fixture on Saturday 3 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Holstebro are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16.

Current form

Næsby, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ringsted, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Holstebro, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ishøj, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.2 xG, Holstebro 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 58%, draw 18%, Holstebro 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–1 Holstebro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Næsby58%fair 1.74 · @1.65
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.00
Holstebro25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
3.56Expected goals
2.19Næsby xG
1.37Holstebro xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Næsby 2.2 – 1.4 Holstebro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNæsby to win ✓58%1.741.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.211.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.501.36
Draw no betNæsby (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapHolstebro +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
First team to scoreNæsby to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultNæsby ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Næsby / FT Næsby ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Næsby – last 6

WDLLWL
26 Sep@ Ringsted2–1W
19 Sepvs FC Helsingor1–1D
16 Sepvs AC Horsens2–3L
13 Sep@ ASA Aarhus0–1L
5 Sepvs Hørsholm-Usserød4–3W
29 Aug@ Holbæk B&I2–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Holstebro – last 6

LLWLLW
26 Sepvs Ishøj1–3L
19 Sep@ Sundby0–2L
13 Sepvs Frem3–2W
5 Sepvs Vanløse1–2L
28 Aug@ ASA Aarhus0–4L
22 Augvs FC Helsingor2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Næsby and Holstebro.

Næsby vs Holstebro head-to-head page →

3. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brønshøj15942+1331
2Holbæk B&I15924+1129
3Vanløse15762+827
4Hørsholm-Usserød15744+925
5FC Helsingor15744+525
6Næsby15636+621
7Frem15465+218
8Ishøj15537-718
9Sundby15528-117
10ASA Aarhus15528-717
11Holstebro15519-1816
12Ringsted151311-216

More 3. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Næsby vs Holstebro?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Næsby vs Holstebro?

On our numbers Næsby have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Holstebro 25%.

How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Holstebro?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Holstebro?

Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Holstebro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Næsby vs Holstebro?

Næsby vs Holstebro (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.