Union Saint-Gilloise II 22%Draw 22%Rochefort 56%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.95
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Rochefort to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRochefort to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 26 August the First Amateur Division brings Union Saint-Gilloise II against Rochefort. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Rochefort are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Saint-Gilloise II, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stockay-Warfusée, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Rochefort, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Excelsior Virton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Union Saint-Gilloise II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Rochefort.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.2 xG, Rochefort 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Saint-Gilloise II 22%, draw 22%, Rochefort 56%.
Price worth noting: Rochefort to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–2 Rochefort. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Rochefort56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
3.10Expected goals
1.15Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
1.95Rochefort xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.2 – 1.9 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochefort to win✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Rochefort (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Union Saint-Gilloise II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Rochefort to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Rochefort ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochefort / FT Rochefort✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6
WWWWDL
10 May
vs Stockay-Warfusée
2–1
W
3 May
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Union Namur
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Stockay-Warfusée
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Charleroi II
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Standard Liège II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochefort – last 6
DWDLLL
1 Aug
vs Excelsior Virton
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ RAAL La Louvière
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Patro Eisden
3–3
D
10 May
@ Tubize
2–3
L
3 May
vs Excelsior Virton
3–5
L
15 Mar
@ Habay-la-Neuve
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Saint-Gilloise II and Rochefort.
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochefort 56%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–2 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
