Value bet: Draw @ 4.00 – our chance 48% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +92%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗48% · @4.00
Double chanceHabay-la-Neuve or draw ✗75% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 15.19
Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 26 August the First Amateur Division brings Habay-la-Neuve against RWDM. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Habay-la-Neuve are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; RWDM are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Excelsior Virton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
RWDM, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to KRC Genk II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Habay-la-Neuve, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.4 for RWDM.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Habay-la-Neuve 1.6 xG, RWDM 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Habay-la-Neuve 27%, draw 48%, RWDM 25%.
Lower-risk option: Habay-la-Neuve or draw (75%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Draw @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Habay-la-Neuve or draw (75%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 RWDM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Habay-la-Neuve27%fair 3.73 · @2.25
Draw48%fair 2.08 · @4.00
RWDM25%fair 3.98 · @2.40
3.15Expected goals
1.59Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.55RWDM xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.6 – 1.6 RWDM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
48%
2.08
4.00 ▲
Double chance
Habay-la-Neuve or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Habay-la-Neuve (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
RWDM +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Habay-la-Neuve to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Habay-la-Neuve / FT Habay-la-Neuve✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
7%
15.19
–
Recent results
Habay-la-Neuve – last 6
LLWWWD
10 May
@ Excelsior Virton
0–2
L
3 May
vs Albert Quévy-Mons
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Tubize
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Rochefort
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Excelsior Virton
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
RWDM – last 5
LLLDD
15 Jul
@ KRC Genk II
2–6
L
17 Apr
@ Kortrijk
1–3
L
11 Mar
@ SK Beveren
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs AS Eupen
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Beerschot VA
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and RWDM.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
Our pick is Habay-la-Neuve or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 48% and RWDM 25%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 RWDM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
