Union Saint-Gilloise II 41%Draw 23%Habay-la-Neuve 37%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.70
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Habay-la-Neuve to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Saint-Gilloise II welcome Habay-la-Neuve for a First Amateur Division fixture on Saturday 5 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Habay-la-Neuve are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Union Saint-Gilloise II, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Meux, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Rochefort, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Saint-Gilloise II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Habay-la-Neuve.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.8 xG, Habay-la-Neuve 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Saint-Gilloise II 41%, draw 23%, Habay-la-Neuve 37%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Habay-la-Neuve to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 Habay-la-Neuve. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II41%fair 2.46 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
Habay-la-Neuve37%fair 2.73 · @3.20
3.50Expected goals
1.80Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
1.70Habay-la-Neuve xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.8 – 1.7 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Saint-Gilloise II to win✓
41%
2.46
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.55
Draw no bet
Union Saint-Gilloise II (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Habay-la-Neuve +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Union Saint-Gilloise II to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Saint-Gilloise II / FT Union Saint-Gilloise II✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6
LLWWWW
29 Aug
@ Meux
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Rochefort
0–2
L
10 May
vs Stockay-Warfusée
2–1
W
3 May
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Union Namur
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Stockay-Warfusée
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Habay-la-Neuve – last 6
LLLLWW
29 Aug
@ Rochefort
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs RWDM
1–2
L
10 May
@ Excelsior Virton
0–2
L
3 May
vs Albert Quévy-Mons
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Tubize
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Rochefort
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Saint-Gilloise II and Habay-la-Neuve.
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Habay-la-Neuve 37%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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