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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tubize v Rochefort: numbers & prediction

First Amateur Division · Belgium · Stade Leburton

Tubize

WWLWL
1–4
FT
Tubize 61%Draw 19%Rochefort 20% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.93
61%
Betarazi pick

Tubize to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultTubize to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.17

Tubize vs Rochefort: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tubize welcome Rochefort to Stade Leburton for a First Amateur Division fixture on Saturday 5 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Tubize are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Rochefort are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tubize, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Standard Liège II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rochefort, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Habay-la-Neuve, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Tubize 3–2 Rochefort.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tubize 1.9 xG, Rochefort 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tubize 61%, draw 19%, Rochefort 20%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tubize to win (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tubize 1–0 Rochefort. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tubize61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.75
Rochefort20%fair 4.97 · @3.40
2.78Expected goals
1.85Tubize xG
0.93Rochefort xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Tubize 1.9 – 0.9 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTubize to win ✗61%1.641.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betTubize (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapRochefort +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreTubize to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultTubize ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tubize / FT Tubize ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%15.17–

Recent results

Tubize – last 6

WWLWLD
30 Aug@ Standard Liège II1–0W
26 Augvs Sporting Charleroi II1–0W
23 Jul@ Francs Borains0–3L
10 Mayvs Rochefort3–2W
29 Mar@ Habay-la-Neuve0–2L
15 Feb@ Meux0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rochefort – last 6

WWDWDL
29 Augvs Habay-la-Neuve4–2W
26 Aug@ Union Saint-Gilloise II2–0W
1 Augvs Excelsior Virton2–2D
4 Jul@ RAAL La Louvière3–0W
27 Junvs Patro Eisden3–3D
10 May@ Tubize2–3L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Tubize v Rochefort3–2
Tubize vs Rochefort head-to-head page →

First Amateur Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Meux12813+925
2Rochefort12642+1222
3Union Saint-Gilloise II12633+721
4Tubize12633+521
5Albert Quévy-Mons12624+820
6RWDM12624+220
7Olympic Charleroi12444-816
8Standard Liège II12426+214
9Sporting Charleroi II12354-114
10Habay-la-Neuve11335-412
11Onhaye11317-1010
12Flénu120210-222

More First Amateur Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tubize vs Rochefort?

Our pick is Tubize to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Tubize vs Rochefort?

On our numbers Tubize have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rochefort 20%.

How many goals will there be in Tubize vs Rochefort?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tubize vs Rochefort?

Our predicted score is Tubize 1–0 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Tubize vs Rochefort?

Tubize vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Leburton.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.