Habay-la-Neuve v Flénu: numbers & prediction

Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Habay-la-Neuve welcome Flénu for a First Amateur Division fixture on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Habay-la-Neuve are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Flénu are 12th (in the drop zone) with 2.

Current form

Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Standard Liège II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Flénu, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Meux, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Flénu, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Habay-la-Neuve.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Habay-la-Neuve 2.2 xG, Flénu 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Habay-la-Neuve 62%, draw 22%, Flénu 16%.
• Lower-risk option: Habay-la-Neuve or draw (84%) at 1.22.
• GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
• Price worth noting: Habay-la-Neuve to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Habay-la-Neuve or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Habay-la-Neuve 2–1 Flénu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.