RWDM v Rochefort Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRWDM to win ✗59% · @1.85

Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

RWDM vs Rochefort: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

RWDM welcome Rochefort to Edmond Machtens Stadium for a First Amateur Division fixture on Wednesday 30 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, RWDM are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Rochefort are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

RWDM, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Meux, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Rochefort, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over K. Lierse S.K., at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RWDM 1.7 xG, Rochefort 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – RWDM 59%, draw 17%, Rochefort 24%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was RWDM to win (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RWDM 1–0 Rochefort. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RWDM59%fair 1.70 · @1.85

Draw17%fair 5.85 · @3.60

Rochefort24%fair 4.17 · @3.20

2.70Expected goals

1.74RWDM xG

0.96Rochefort xG

58%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–010%

2–110%

0–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: RWDM 1.7 – 1.0 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	RWDM to win ✗	59%	1.70	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	83%	1.21	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.71	1.50
Draw no bet	RWDM (draw no bet)	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	Rochefort +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	RWDM to score first	60%	1.66	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT RWDM / FT RWDM ✗	34%	2.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.24	–

RWDM – last 6

WWWWWL

19 Sep	@ Meux	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs Sporting Charleroi II	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Onhaye	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Flénu	3–0	W
26 Aug	@ Habay-la-Neuve	2–1	W
15 Jul	@ KRC Genk II	2–6	L

1.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Rochefort – last 6

WDLWWW

27 Sep	vs K. Lierse S.K.	3–2	W
19 Sep	vs Sporting Charleroi II	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Onhaye	1–2	L
5 Sep	@ Tubize	4–1	W
29 Aug	vs Habay-la-Neuve	4–2	W
26 Aug	@ Union Saint-Gilloise II	2–0	W

2.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Meux	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Rochefort	12	6	4	2	+12	22
3	Union Saint-Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	+7	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	12	6	2	4	+8	20
6	RWDM	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Olympic Charleroi	12	4	4	4	-8	16
8	Standard Liège II	12	4	2	6	+2	14
9	Sporting Charleroi II	12	3	5	4	-1	14
10	Habay-la-Neuve	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Onhaye	11	3	1	7	-10	10
12	Flénu	12	0	2	10	-22	2

Team

Pts

Meux

Rochefort

+12

Union Saint-Gilloise II

-8

Sporting Charleroi II

-1

Habay-la-Neuve

-4

Onhaye

-10

Flénu

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RWDM vs Rochefort?

Our pick is RWDM to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win RWDM vs Rochefort?

On our numbers RWDM have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rochefort 24%.

How many goals will there be in RWDM vs Rochefort?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RWDM vs Rochefort?

Our predicted score is RWDM 1–0 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is RWDM vs Rochefort?

RWDM vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Edmond Machtens Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

RWDM v Rochefort: numbers & prediction