Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dessel Sport travel to face Merelbeke on Wednesday 30 September in the First Amateur Division – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Merelbeke, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AS Eupen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dessel Sport, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cercle Brugge II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merelbeke 2.0 xG, Dessel Sport 1.9 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merelbeke 44%, draw 19%, Dessel Sport 37%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merelbeke 2–1 Dessel Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merelbeke44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.75
Dessel Sport37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
3.88Expected goals
2.03Merelbeke xG
1.85Dessel Sport xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Merelbeke 2.0 – 1.9 Dessel Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merelbeke to win✗
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
Merelbeke (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Dessel Sport +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
First team to score
Merelbeke to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Merelbeke ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merelbeke / FT Merelbeke✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.71
–
Recent results
Merelbeke – last 6
LWLWWL
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Harelbeke
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Hoogstraten
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dessel Sport – last 6
WLDWLL
19 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
11 Sep
@ Houtvenne
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Hoogstraten
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Tienen
4–3
W
26 Apr
@ Sporting Hasselt
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merelbeke and Dessel Sport.
What is the prediction for Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
On our numbers Merelbeke have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dessel Sport 37%.
How many goals will there be in Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Our predicted score is Merelbeke 2–1 Dessel Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
RWDM1
Rochefort1
Sporting Charleroi II0
Habay-la-Neuve0
Flénu3
Olympic Charleroi4
Houtvenne2
Mandel United1
Spouwen-Mopertingen3
Heist1
Roeselare Daisel0
Thes Sport1
Zelzate0
Knokke0