Union Saint-Gilloise II v RWDM Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRWDM to win ✗48% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.65

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.57

Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the First Amateur Division brings Union Saint-Gilloise II against RWDM. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; RWDM are 6th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Union Saint-Gilloise II, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tubize, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

RWDM, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rochefort, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours RWDM, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Union Saint-Gilloise II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Saint-Gilloise II 0.8 xG, RWDM 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Union Saint-Gilloise II 31%, draw 21%, RWDM 48%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 RWDM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Saint-Gilloise II31%fair 3.26 · @2.80

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30

RWDM48%fair 2.08 · @2.10

1.92Expected goals

0.80Union Saint-Gilloise II xG

1.12RWDM xG

52%Both score

30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%

0–015%

1–113%

1–012%

0–29%

1–27%

From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 0.8 – 1.1 RWDM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	RWDM to win ✗	48%	2.08	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.65
Draw no bet	RWDM (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Union Saint-Gilloise II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	RWDM to score first	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	51%	1.97	–
Half-time / full-time	HT RWDM / FT RWDM ✗	24%	4.09	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.57	–

Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6

DWDWLL

26 Sep	@ Tubize	1–1	D
19 Sep	vs Standard Liège II	1–0	W
12 Sep	@ Olympic Charleroi	1–1	D
5 Sep	vs Habay-la-Neuve	2–0	W
29 Aug	@ Meux	1–2	L
26 Aug	vs Rochefort	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

RWDM – last 6

DWWWWW

30 Sep	vs Rochefort	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Meux	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs Sporting Charleroi II	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Onhaye	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Flénu	3–0	W
26 Aug	@ Habay-la-Neuve	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Meux	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Rochefort	12	6	4	2	+12	22
3	Union Saint-Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	+7	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	12	6	2	4	+8	20
6	RWDM	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Olympic Charleroi	12	4	4	4	-8	16
8	Standard Liège II	12	4	2	6	+2	14
9	Sporting Charleroi II	12	3	5	4	-1	14
10	Habay-la-Neuve	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Onhaye	11	3	1	7	-10	10
12	Flénu	12	0	2	10	-22	2

Team

Pts

Meux

Rochefort

+12

Union Saint-Gilloise II

-8

Sporting Charleroi II

-1

Habay-la-Neuve

-4

Onhaye

-10

Flénu

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?

On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and RWDM 48%.

How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?

Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 RWDM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM?

Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Union Saint-Gilloise II v RWDM: numbers & prediction