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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tubize v Habay-la-Neuve: numbers & prediction

First Amateur Division · Belgium · Stade Leburton

Tubize

DWDLW
1–0
FT
Tubize 63%Draw 21%Habay-la-Neuve 15% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.75
85%
Betarazi pick

Tubize or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Tubize to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTubize to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceTubize or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Habay-la-Neuve travel to face Tubize on Saturday 3 October in the First Amateur Division, with Stade Leburton the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tubize are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Habay-la-Neuve are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Tubize, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Saint-Gilloise II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sporting Charleroi II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Tubize, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Habay-la-Neuve.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Habay-la-Neuve 2–0 Tubize.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tubize 1.8 xG, Habay-la-Neuve 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tubize 63%, draw 21%, Habay-la-Neuve 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tubize or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Tubize to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tubize or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tubize 1–0 Habay-la-Neuve. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tubize63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Habay-la-Neuve15%fair 6.49 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.83Tubize xG
0.75Habay-la-Neuve xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Tubize 1.8 – 0.8 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTubize to win ✓63%1.581.75 ▲
Double chanceTubize or draw ✓85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.67
Draw no betTubize (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapTubize -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreTubize to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultTubize ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tubize / FT Tubize ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Tubize – last 6

DWDLWW
26 Sepvs Union Saint-Gilloise II1–1D
19 Sep@ Olympic Charleroi3–1W
12 Sep@ Albert Quévy-Mons2–2D
5 Sepvs Rochefort1–4L
30 Aug@ Standard Liège II1–0W
26 Augvs Sporting Charleroi II1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Habay-la-Neuve – last 6

DDWDLL
30 Sep@ Sporting Charleroi II0–0D
26 Sep@ Olympic Charleroi1–1D
20 Sepvs Flénu2–1W
13 Sepvs Standard Liège II0–0D
5 Sep@ Union Saint-Gilloise II0–2L
29 Aug@ Rochefort2–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Habay-la-Neuve v Tubize2–0
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve head-to-head page →

First Amateur Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Meux12813+925
2Rochefort12642+1222
3Union Saint-Gilloise II12633+721
4Tubize12633+521
5Albert Quévy-Mons12624+820
6RWDM12624+220
7Olympic Charleroi12444-816
8Standard Liège II12426+214
9Sporting Charleroi II12354-114
10Habay-la-Neuve11335-412
11Onhaye11317-1010
12Flénu120210-222

More First Amateur Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Our pick is Tubize or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?

On our numbers Tubize have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Habay-la-Neuve 15%.

How many goals will there be in Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Our predicted score is Tubize 1–0 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?

Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Leburton.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.