Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tubize to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTubize to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceTubize or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Habay-la-Neuve travel to face Tubize on Saturday 3 October in the First Amateur Division, with Stade Leburton the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tubize are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 12 matches; Habay-la-Neuve are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Tubize, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Saint-Gilloise II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Habay-la-Neuve, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sporting Charleroi II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tubize, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Habay-la-Neuve.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Habay-la-Neuve 2–0 Tubize.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tubize 1.8 xG, Habay-la-Neuve 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tubize 63%, draw 21%, Habay-la-Neuve 15%.
Lower-risk option: Tubize or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Tubize to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tubize or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tubize 1–0 Habay-la-Neuve. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tubize63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Habay-la-Neuve15%fair 6.49 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.83Tubize xG
0.75Habay-la-Neuve xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tubize 1.8 – 0.8 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our pick is Tubize or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
On our numbers Tubize have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Habay-la-Neuve 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our predicted score is Tubize 1–0 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Leburton.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.