Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Spouwen-Mopertingen to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceSpouwen-Mopertingen or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.37
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Spouwen-Mopertingen v Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division.
Current form
Spouwen-Mopertingen, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Houtvenne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Merelbeke, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cercle Brugge II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spouwen-Mopertingen 2.9 xG, Merelbeke 1.6 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spouwen-Mopertingen 62%, draw 21%, Merelbeke 17%.
Lower-risk option: Spouwen-Mopertingen or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Spouwen-Mopertingen to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spouwen-Mopertingen or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spouwen-Mopertingen 2–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spouwen-Mopertingen62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.30
Merelbeke17%fair 5.94 · @3.30
4.50Expected goals
2.91Spouwen-Mopertingen xG
1.59Merelbeke xG
71%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Spouwen-Mopertingen 2.9 – 1.6 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spouwen-Mopertingen to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Spouwen-Mopertingen or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.40
1.44
Draw no bet
Spouwen-Mopertingen (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Spouwen-Mopertingen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Spouwen-Mopertingen to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Spouwen-Mopertingen ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spouwen-Mopertingen / FT Spouwen-Mopertingen✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.37
–
Recent results
Spouwen-Mopertingen – last 6
LDLWWL
6 Sep
vs Houtvenne
3–4
L
30 Aug
@ Roeselare Daisel
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Sporting Hasselt
0–4
L
26 Apr
@ Diegem Sport
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Zelzate
5–0
W
29 Mar
vs Tienen
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merelbeke – last 6
WWLLLL
6 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Hoogstraten
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Gent
1–6
L
26 Apr
@ Ninove
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Roeselare Daisel
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spouwen-Mopertingen and Merelbeke.
What is the prediction for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke?
Our pick is Spouwen-Mopertingen or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Spouwen-Mopertingen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Merelbeke 17%.
How many goals will there be in Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Spouwen-Mopertingen 2–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke?
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Flénu1
Meux4
Habay-la-Neuve0
Standard Liège II0
Cercle Brugge II2
Knokke1
Harelbeke0
Tienen4
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II4
Zelzate3
Roeselare Daisel1
Mandel United0