Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Tienen to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTienen to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.44
Harelbeke vs Tienen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Harelbeke v Tienen in the First Amateur Division, played at Forestierstadion.
Current form
Harelbeke, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Heist, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tienen, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oud-Heverlee Leuven II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Harelbeke 2.0 xG, Tienen 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Harelbeke 37%, draw 23%, Tienen 40%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Tienen to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harelbeke 1–2 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Harelbeke37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Tienen40%fair 2.53 · @2.80
4.00Expected goals
1.97Harelbeke xG
2.03Tienen xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Harelbeke 2.0 – 2.0 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tienen to win✓
40%
2.53
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Draw no bet
Tienen (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Harelbeke +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Tienen to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Tienen ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tienen / FT Tienen✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.44
–
Recent results
Harelbeke – last 4
LLWW
5 Sep
@ Heist
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mandel United
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Kortrijk
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs VW Hamme
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Tienen – last 6
LLDLWW
6 Sep
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Dessel Sport
3–4
L
26 Apr
vs Hoogstraten
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Knokke
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Diegem Sport
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harelbeke and Tienen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Harelbeke vs Tienen?
On our numbers Harelbeke have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tienen 40%.
How many goals will there be in Harelbeke vs Tienen?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harelbeke vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Harelbeke 1–2 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Harelbeke vs Tienen?
Harelbeke vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Forestierstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Flénu1
Meux4
Habay-la-Neuve0
Standard Liège II0
Spouwen-Mopertingen1
Merelbeke0
Cercle Brugge II2
Knokke1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II4
Zelzate3
Roeselare Daisel1
Mandel United0