Ruthin Town 23%Draw 17%Denbigh Town 60%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.21
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Denbigh Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDenbigh Town to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: Ruthin Town v Denbigh Town in the FAW Championship. In the table, Ruthin Town are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Denbigh Town are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ruthin Town, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bala Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Denbigh Town, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bangor City 1876 FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Denbigh Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Ruthin Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ruthin Town 1.3 xG, Denbigh Town 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ruthin Town 23%, draw 17%, Denbigh Town 60%.
Price worth noting: Denbigh Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ruthin Town 1–2 Denbigh Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ruthin Town23%fair 4.39 · @2.88
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @3.90
Denbigh Town60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
3.49Expected goals
1.28Ruthin Town xG
2.21Denbigh Town xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ruthin Town 1.3 – 2.2 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denbigh Town to win✗
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Denbigh Town (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Ruthin Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Denbigh Town to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Denbigh Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town✗
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Ruthin Town – last 6
LLLWWL
7 Aug
@ Bala Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Holyhead Hotspur
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Llandudno
2–5
L
27 Mar
vs Buckley Town
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Gresford Athletic
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Flint Mountain
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Denbigh Town – last 6
LWWWDL
8 Aug
vs Bangor City 1876 FC
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Buckley Town
4–2
W
3 Jul
@ Colwyn Bay
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Penrhyncoch
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Holyhead Hotspur
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Rhyl
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ruthin Town and Denbigh Town.
What is the prediction for Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
On our numbers Ruthin Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Denbigh Town 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Our predicted score is Ruthin Town 1–2 Denbigh Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Trethomas Bluebirds2
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