Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaerau (Ely) to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chanceCaerau (Ely) or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.95
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely): Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 14 August: Trethomas Bluebirds v Caerau (Ely) in the FAW Championship. In the table, Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Caerau (Ely) are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with llanelli AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Caerau (Ely), last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ynyshir Albions, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trethomas Bluebirds 0.8 xG, Caerau (Ely) 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trethomas Bluebirds 16%, draw 18%, Caerau (Ely) 65%.
Lower-risk option: Caerau (Ely) or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Caerau (Ely) to win (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trethomas Bluebirds 0–1 Caerau (Ely). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trethomas Bluebirds16%fair 6.06 · @4.60
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Caerau (Ely)65%fair 1.54 · @1.55
2.75Expected goals
0.81Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.94Caerau (Ely) xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 0.8 – 1.9 Caerau (Ely) expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caerau (Ely) to win✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Double chance
Caerau (Ely) or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Caerau (Ely) (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Caerau (Ely) -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Caerau (Ely) to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Caerau (Ely) ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caerau (Ely) / FT Caerau (Ely)✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6
DDLWWL
7 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Baglan Dragons
0–0
D
14 Jul
@ Barry Town
1–5
L
20 Mar
vs Pontypridd Town
4–2
W
9 Mar
vs Newport City
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Carmarthen Town
4–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Caerau (Ely) – last 6
DLDLLW
7 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Carmarthen Town
3–4
L
25 Jul
vs Barnstaple Town
4–4
D
21 Jul
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Evesham United
0–2
L
3 Jul
vs Croesyceiliog AFC
5–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Caerau (Ely).
What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
Our pick is Caerau (Ely) to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Caerau (Ely) 65%.
How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 0–1 Caerau (Ely), the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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