Caersws v Newtown AFC Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNewtown AFC to win45% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.47

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.49

Caersws vs Newtown AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the FAW Championship brings Caersws against Newtown AFC. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Caersws are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 13 matches; Newtown AFC are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Caersws, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Rhyl, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Newtown AFC, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guilsfield, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caersws 1.6 xG, Newtown AFC 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Caersws 34%, draw 21%, Newtown AFC 45%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caersws 1–1 Newtown AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caersws34%fair 2.98 · @2.50

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40

Newtown AFC45%fair 2.20 · @2.30

3.50Expected goals

1.61Caersws xG

1.89Newtown AFC xG

67%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

1–29%

2–17%

2–27%

0–16%

1–35%

From our goals model: Caersws 1.6 – 1.9 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Newtown AFC to win	45%	2.20	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	67%	1.49	1.44
Draw no bet	Newtown AFC (draw no bet)	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Caersws +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	73%	1.38	–
First team to score	Newtown AFC to score first	52%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	36%	2.77	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC	28%	3.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	9%	11.49	–

Caersws – last 6

LWDWLW

15 Aug	@ Rhyl	2–4	L
8 Aug	vs Gresford Athletic	1–0	W
1 Aug	@ Mold Alexandra	2–2	D
13 Apr	vs Buckley Town	3–2	W
6 Apr	vs Penrhyncoch	1–2	L
3 Apr	@ Gresford Athletic	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Newtown AFC – last 6

DWWLLW

15 Aug	vs Guilsfield	1–1	D
8 Aug	vs Penrhyncoch	5–0	W
2 Aug	@ Gresford Athletic	3–0	W
8 Apr	@ Holywell	0–6	L
3 Apr	vs Mold Alexandra	1–2	L
24 Mar	vs Rhyl	6–1	W

2.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caersws vs Newtown AFC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Caersws vs Newtown AFC?

On our numbers Caersws have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newtown AFC 45%.

How many goals will there be in Caersws vs Newtown AFC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caersws vs Newtown AFC?

Our predicted score is Caersws 1–1 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Caersws vs Newtown AFC?

Caersws vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Caersws v Newtown AFC: numbers & prediction